November 30, 2025 4:18 am

Post-AR6 Climate Change Update for India

CURRENT AFFAIRS: Post-AR6 assessment, compound extremes, Indian Ocean warming, glacier loss, monsoon shifts, regional hotspots, coastal risks, adaptation strategies, heat stress, sea-level rise

Post-AR6 Climate Change Update for India

Warming Trends in India

Post-AR6 Climate Change Update for India: India has already warmed by 0.89°C during 2015–24 compared to the 1901–30 baseline. Projections indicate +1.2–1.3°C additional warming by mid-century.
Warming is more severe across the Hindu Kush Himalayas, making it a critical regional hotspot.
Static GK fact: India is the 7th largest country globally by land area, which contributes to diverse climate zones and region-specific warming rates.

Ocean Warming and Marine Extremes

The Indian Ocean is warming at 0.12°C per decade since 1950, projected to rise to 0.17°C per decade by 2100.
Marine heatwave days are expected to increase dramatically — from ~20 to ~200 days/year by mid-century.
Sea levels in the north Indian Ocean rose 3.3 mm/year (1993–2017), increasing coastal flood vulnerability.
Static GK fact: India has over 7,500 km of coastline, with major ports like Mumbai, Chennai and Kolkata.

Monsoon Variability and Rainfall Extremes

The mean Southwest Monsoon rainfall declined in the Indo-Gangetic plains and Northeast India.
Meanwhile, extreme precipitation events have become more intense, especially across Western and Central India.
All-India mean rainfall may rise 6–8% by mid-century but with high spatial variability, making agriculture more climate-sensitive.

Cryosphere Stress and Glacier Melt

The Hindu Kush Himalayas are warming rapidly at 0.28°C per decade (1950–2020).
Projected 30–50% glacier volume loss by 2100 under 1.5–2°C warming threatens water security in major river basins.
Static GK fact: Himalayan glaciers feed rivers like Ganga and Brahmaputra, serving nearly 40% of India’s population.

Cyclone Risk Intensification

Pre-monsoon Arabian Sea cyclone intensity increased by 40% during 1982–2019.
Extreme sea-level events that previously occurred once in 100 years may become annual along the western coastline by mid-century.
Static GK fact: The Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are part of the greater Indian Ocean cyclone basin.

Regional Hotspots Across India

Recent observations highlight hotspot-specific climate threats:

  • Northwest India: More warm days and warm nights
  • Indo-Gangetic Plains: Heat stress and declining monsoon rainfall
  • Northeast India: Reduced rainfall and compound hot-dry extremes
  • Western India: Increase in extreme rainfall
  • Central India: Sharp rise in heavy rain events
  • Southeast India: Hot-dry extremes and monsoon variability
  • Western Coast & Arabian Sea: Severe tropical cyclones and higher sea levels
  • Sundarbans: Sea-level rise and increased hot nights

These impacts clearly demonstrate the rise of compound climate risks, especially heat-drought and heat-humidity combinations.

Adaptation Imperatives for India

India needs region-specific, data-driven climate planning.
Key priorities include strengthening urban climate resilience, improving agro-adaptation, deploying early warning systems, and designing coastal protections.

Static Usthadian Current Affairs Table

Post-AR6 Climate Change Update for India:

Topic Detail
Observed warming in India 0.89°C rise (2015–24 vs 1901–30)
Projected warming +1.2–1.3°C by mid-century
Indian Ocean warming rate 0.12°C/decade; projected 0.17°C/decade by 2100
Marine heatwaves Increasing from ~20 to ~200 days/year by mid-century
Sea-level rise 3.3 mm/year in north Indian Ocean (1993–2017)
Monsoon trend Decline in Indo-Gangetic & Northeast; rise in extremes
Glacier projections 30–50% volume loss by 2100
Cyclone intensity +40% in Arabian Sea pre-monsoon systems
Hotspot regions Himalayas, coasts, plains, Northeast, Central India
Adaptation need Region-specific resilience and early warning systems
Post-AR6 Climate Change Update for India
  1. India has warmed by 0.89°C (2015–24 vs early baseline).
  2. Expected warming +1.2°C to +1.3°C by mid-century.
  3. Hindu Kush Himalayas warming at 28°C per decade.
  4. Projected 30–50% glacier loss by 2100.
  5. Indian Ocean warming projected to increase to 0.17°C/decade.
  6. Marine heatwaves rising dramatically by 2050.
  7. Sea-level rising 3.3 mm/year in North Indian Ocean.
  8. Extremes in rainfall rising in West & Central India.
  9. Monsoon weakening in Indo-Gangetic Plains & Northeast.
  10. Increased heat-humidity extremes raise death risks.
  11. Cyclones stronger in Arabian Sea.
  12. Coastal cities more prone to annual flooding events soon.
  13. Compound hazards threaten food–water–health systems.
  14. Sundarbans vulnerable to sea-level intrusion.
  15. Northeast facing hot-dry extremes alongside rainfall drop.
  16. Northwestern India showing more hot days and nights.
  17. Adaptation must be region-specific and data-driven.
  18. Need rapid urban climate resilience measures.
  19. Coastal protection structures urgently required.
  20. India must prioritise early-warning systems and climate-smart agriculture.

Q1. How much has India warmed during 2015–24 compared to 1901–30?


Q2. How many marine heatwave days are projected by mid-century?


Q3. What is the glacier loss projection for the Hindu Kush Himalayas by 2100?


Q4. Which coastline faces increasing extreme sea-level events?


Q5. Which region is identified as a major climate hotspot?


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